Friday, February 25, 2011

Friday February 25 Picks

Windy night on tap at Club Med. I'm feeling good about this weekend, so lets get to it!

Start = $844.00

Race 1
3-1     (Spirit To Spare - Lightning Dragon)

Race 2
2-5-7-1  (Macs Bad Boy - Alcarine - Monsignor Flan - Ellen's Isle)

Race 3
5-4-6-1  (Cuz She Can - Ideal Nectarine - Go On BB - Run On Luck)

$10 ExBx 4/5 = $20

Race 4
7  (Affirmed Action)

Race 5
3) Four Starz Molly - Much improved post and back to Dave Miller. Shows much higher class on the program but with no in the money finishes in those races. Also doesn't show many outer tier tries. I'll lev her beat me if she can. Only using underneath.

4) Dingle Bay - It's Burke, so right away you need to consider. Barn is hot. Horse is also dropping out of Yonkers where it looks like she didn't fair too well. Maybe the added distance was also a problem. I'll use, but again underneath.

5) Winback Alice - Improved post and similar class. The two that beat her were uncatachable and incredibly consistent repsectively. That was a quck opening quarter, 26.4, last week too!

7) An Original - Shows Pref races, but has been off over a month. I'll watch carefully for later consideration.

5-4-3-2

Race 6
1-5-8-4  (Ridge Jumper - Stacked Deck - Nights Kreation - Southwind Swallow)

$5 Tri 1 w 4/5/8 w 4/5/8 = $30

Race 7
1) Sam Hill - Long layoff, then a break...not for me.

3) Eoos - Always was a bit of a fan of this horse and last effor was super. From the 3 spot the trip should be easier and it will give him every opportunity to win it this time!

4) Must Be The Bunny - Dube was hot Monday and I'm goign to stick with the philosophy that, that is how this horse won. Had a rail ride and just got up for the win. This time won't be nearly that easy and I feel if he has to vacate the cones, he'll be in trouble.

6) Box Car Johnnie - Dropping JUST a tad and the three that finished top order last week were solid foes. A maybe, and will offer value.

7) Third Day - I've chased this one for weeks now and he's shown nothing. I liked him out at the Meadows but the success hasn't translated. Will the tactics change now and if so will it help? I'm done with him, now watch him win...

9) Basilio Blue Chip - Great effort last week for the win! Left, tucked, shuffled a bit, then back out for the win. This won't be easy because Eoos draws inside AND it will likely be a sloppy track. Can't ignore though!

3-9-4-6

$2 Tri 3/9 w 3/6/9 w 3/4/6/7/9 = $24

Race 9
1) Village Bolero - Lost to Spirit To Spare in last and that one was not being caught last week AND would embarass this field. Gets the rail, like she really needs it? and the speed will be there. Down the road?

2) McFlirty - A horse I kind of like, probably because she won me some money not too long ago. With the right trip she has a shot and Tetrick has been positioning horses perfectly lately. Only up to the mare to bring home the victory.

3) Fax Me - Loses Sears to the 1 but the horse is still sharp as a tack. Steps up a bit so we'll see how she fares. Won't offer much value so I'll go fishing elsewhere!

4) Dagnabit Hanover - That's right, a 25.4 first quarter. Popped the pocket for the lead to a 54.0 half and faded to 5th come the wire...but only 3 lenghts back! I wish Dave Miller was still here, but this one still has a great shot! Drop and pop!

7) Don't Deny Me - This one has faced SO much better but only beat the bottom level by a neck lat week!? D Miller sticks here with it being Rucker but I feel she needs a perfect ride to score. I'll let her beat me but can use underneath. Offers nice value.

8) Arbeedo - Another who has faced better but can't seem to find a way to win at the lower levels. With an off track and the outside I'll wait for a better spot.

4-1-3-2

$10 Win 4 = $10
$5 Tri 4 w 1/3 w 1/2/3/7 = $30

Race 10
1-7  (Wildridge Sam - CR Fixed Asset)

Start = +$844.00
Tonight += -$114.00
Total = +$730.00

Good Luck!

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