Friday, February 4, 2011

Friday February 4 Picks

Friday February 4

A cool Thursday in a bunch of sub par races. Tonights card looks a lot better. Hope it brings me some success!

Start = +$924.50

Race 1

Race 2
1) Ise The By Boy - Seems to like the rail riding journey which I'm not too thrilled about but the rail will help him for that. If he finds room late look out.

3) Freddy Day Hanover - Sports a second in a leg of the Clyde Hirt and had the lead at the top of the stretch in the final after going first over. Pretty quick fractions there too. 5th new driver in 5 starts.

4) Ponda River - Faced some good horses of late but the race lines still don't stand out to me.

6) Pandapocket - Dropped out of series action and finish 2nd a nose, but now we're back in series action and I'm not so sure.

7) Ab's Attack - Post 7 hurts but I like this one. Had a start over the track, then parked the mile first up fading only in the stretch, and then a no chance trip from post 10.

7-3-1-4

$2 Ex 7 w ALL = $14

Race 3
1) Diablo Seelster - Showed up for one of the legs of the Clyde Hirt. Does he show up for one of the legs of the Exit 16W? Does have the rail, Tetrick and Pena...

4) Sniper Seelster - Liked this one in the final and he proved me right! Strong finish for second behind a sharp, pocket riding Meirs Hanover. Gets a little better post and there's no reason he can't jump up and win this.

5) No Monkeys Allowed - Lots of thirds of late, and I envision the trend to continue. I just don't see him beating the likes of Meirs, Summer Camp and Sniper.

6) Summper Camp - Post 10 proved to be a little to much in the final, but what an effort. Left parked the quarter in 26.4 and had the lead at half in 54.4. With a much easier 6 post, drawing inside Meirs, I think the winners circle may be in the near future.

7) Meirs Hanover - Has to be morning line favorite after beating the 6 in the final but he draws one slot outside. Can't see him not leaving but he'll have a few horses to get around. Not as easy.

6-4-7-5

$5 Tri 6 w 1/4/7 w 1/4/5/7 = $45

Race 4
3) Self Professed - Much improved post in same class. Only thing is this is another that seems to love the rail
rides. Needs to get around the 1 and 2.

5) One Man Show S - Won in a lesser class 2 back being parked the first half. Stepped up at Yonkers with a first over second. Now back to M1. Recent journey's don't look too smooth. If he gets an easier trip he's more than capable.

7) Sauce Two K - Fits the condition by $100, but moves out after his last 5 starts from 3 or better. Don't see too much success from the outer teir, which is where he'll end up.

9) Aachoo - Last at Yonkers is impressive. A wire to wire winner from post 8. Still must show me something on mile track.

5-3-7-9

$5 Tri 3/5 w 3/5/7/9 w 3/5/7/9 = $60

Race 5
2) Marietta Hall - Last was likely a race over the track setting up for this series. Has won here before.

3) Ideal Newton - A month off with a qualifier mixed in, which doesn't look too bad at all. One of the favorites. Lures Tetrick off the 6.

4) Red Star Hottie - Lots of 1's and from post 4, I see more in the near future.

5) Shacked Up - Consistent of late at both 5/8 Chester and Dover. Little bit different on the mile track with the distance change and this type of field. HOWEVER, recent form can't be ignored.

6) Cuz She Can - One of those horses you must ask "how can you not like her?" Comes off a Mare Invite win, but Tetrick chooses off?

7) Shanghai Lil - Had to need that last one and looked the part riding the rail from post one near the back. Loaded late, but this is a better field and she has the outside. I'm hoping she'll need one more.

6-5-3-4

Race 6
1-3-6-2

Race 7
1) Semjac Legacy - Moves to the rail on the step up in class, which will help. Unfortunately doesn't show too much success at this level. Leaves a bit, finds a spot sits and saves for late? Tetrick sticks.

2) Flirtiscape - One of these days this one will show up, and it might be tonight. Drops out of Mare Invites, Preffereds and higher conditions. Gets nice inside post too.

4) Ubetterthinkthink - Another whose backclass will show up one night. Another coming out of a Mare Invite and a higher conditioned race. Nice exacta - 2/4???

5) Nights Kreeation - Nice patient drive by Andy last week. In same class from midpack. Will he leave or sit back and come on late? Can't ignore.

7) Mano Cornuto - Back to the level she can do some damage. Last week proved too high and there is a Mare Invite line. Likely to see speed.

8) Southwind Swallow - My pick for the challenge and saved me a shoe holding third. Loses Tetrick and moves outside. Hard to leave out, but I prefer others.

9) Gerries Madison - Loses Pierce and moves outside. Seems this one needs that right trip and I don't see it happening tonight.

4-2-7-5

$10 Exbx 2/4 = $20

Race 8
5-2-8-10

Race 9
1) Super Discipline - Shows Opens on the program and first start was a winner at M1. Steps up but keeps Tetrick. Rail will aid the cause.

2) Braggart - I been waiting for this one to drop, and he finally does. Time to play for me! Another who shows Opens.

4) Margarita Mary - Campbell gets the drive on a sharp mare but is stepping up slightly where she proved a non-factor last time in this condition.

5) Slightly Tipsy - Team Miller can't be overlooked. First M1 start was a good one. Improvement in second try? I think so!

9) Willie Count - I wish this one had a better post! Consistent of late and if Pierce gives him the right trip he'll be seen late.

5-2-4-9

$10 Win 2 = $10
$5 Tri 2/5 w 2/4/5 w 2/4/5/9 = $40

Race 10
1) Jasperthat A - Hurt me in the past so for me she jumps out. Gets the rail here after a nice win over at Yonkers in the top condition. Different story on a mile track in this type of race thuogh!

2) Up Front Cruiser - Same boat as the 1! Does show more outer tier trips which, to me, gives her the edge over the 1.

3) Go On BB - Million dollar winner for the Burke barn and rarely has a race not in the top conditions. Will likely go right around the 1 and 2.

4) Ramonda Disomma - Has had success here in the past but she relies on a strong late kick and a quick pace. It COULD set up that way too...Maybe. Might be a touch to high for her too.

5) Symphony In Motion - Another from Yonkers who I believe has been in the M1 winners Circle. Versatile type and I feel Sears has a "gatetime" decision to make on whether or not he should leave.

6) Laughandbehappy - The favorite, hands down. 2-2 pretty convincingly. Tough chalk.

7) Omen Hanover - One of those horses I just love. Has hurt me in the past and has helped me. Helps she's sharp too! Also know the trainer!

6-3-7-5

Race 11

Race 12
8) Inform - Outkicked by a bomb last week but it was his first start at M1. Do we see more here? I think we do.

Race 13

Start = +$924.850
Tonight = -$179
Total = +$745.50

GOOD LUCK TO ALL

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